Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 39% | |
| 2026-04-04 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 38% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 3–3 | Draw | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2025-02-08 | 1–2 | Stuttgart +1 | Dortmund 48% | |
| 2024-09-22 | 5–1 | Stuttgart +4 | Stuttgart 37% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 0–1 | Stuttgart +1 | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 2–1 | Stuttgart +1 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 3–3 | Draw | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2022-10-22 | 5–0 | Dortmund +5 | Dortmund 64% | |
| 2022-04-08 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 50% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 45% | |
| 2020-12-12 | 1–5 | Stuttgart +4 | Dortmund 72% | |
| 2019-03-09 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 74% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 0–4 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 50% | |
| 2018-04-08 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 65% | |
| 2017-11-17 | 2–1 | Stuttgart +1 | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 0–3 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 65% | |
| 2015-11-29 | 4–1 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 73% | |
| 2015-02-20 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2014-09-24 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 78% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 64% | |
| 2013-11-01 | 6–1 | Dortmund +5 | Dortmund 76% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 68% | |
| 2012-03-30 | 4–4 | Draw | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Stuttgart 37% | |
| 2011-01-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 62% | |
| 2010-08-29 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Stuttgart 52% | |
| 2010-01-31 | 4–1 | Stuttgart +3 | Stuttgart 45% |