Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-22 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-20 | 5–0 | RB Leipzig +5 | RB Leipzig 46% | |
| 2025-11-08 | 3–1 | Hoffenheim +2 | RB Leipzig 42% | |
| 2025-04-05 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 62% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 4–3 | Hoffenheim +1 | RB Leipzig 48% | |
| 2024-05-03 | 1–1 | Draw | RB Leipzig 59% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 67% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 1–0 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 70% | |
| 2022-11-05 | 1–3 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 41% | |
| 2022-04-10 | 3–0 | RB Leipzig +3 | RB Leipzig 63% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 2–0 | Hoffenheim +2 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2021-04-16 | 0–0 | Draw | RB Leipzig 70% | |
| 2020-12-16 | 0–1 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 45% | |
| 2020-06-12 | 0–2 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 51% | |
| 2019-12-07 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 61% | |
| 2019-02-25 | 1–1 | Draw | RB Leipzig 48% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 1–2 | RB Leipzig +1 | Hoffenheim 49% | |
| 2018-04-21 | 2–5 | Hoffenheim +3 | RB Leipzig 46% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 4–0 | Hoffenheim +4 | RB Leipzig 39% | |
| 2017-01-28 | 2–1 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 45% | |
| 2016-08-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Hoffenheim 49% |