Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-05 | 0–1 | Freiburg +1 | Freiburg 39% | |
| 2020-01-25 | 0–2 | Paderborn +2 | Freiburg 56% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 1–3 | Freiburg +2 | Paderborn 45% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 1–2 | Paderborn +1 | Freiburg 53% | |
| 2014-12-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Paderborn 45% |