Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-05 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2026-04-18 | 2–1 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 45% | |
| 2025-12-07 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 65% | |
| 2025-04-26 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 54% | |
| 2024-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2024-02-25 | 2–3 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 70% | |
| 2023-09-29 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2023-02-25 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 58% | |
| 2022-09-02 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 58% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 2–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 40% | |
| 2021-08-27 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 62% | |
| 2021-02-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 58% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 39% | |
| 2020-06-27 | 0–4 | Hoffenheim +4 | Dortmund 68% | |
| 2019-12-20 | 2–1 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 3–3 | Draw | Dortmund 62% | |
| 2018-09-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Hoffenheim 38% | |
| 2018-05-12 | 3–1 | Hoffenheim +2 | Hoffenheim 36% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2017-05-06 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2016-12-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2016-02-28 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 73% | |
| 2015-09-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2015-05-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 41% | |
| 2014-12-05 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2014-05-03 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 72% | |
| 2013-12-14 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2013-05-18 | 1–2 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 84% | |
| 2012-12-16 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 67% | |
| 2012-01-28 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2011-08-13 | 1–0 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 47% | |
| 2011-03-12 | 1–0 | Hoffenheim +1 | Dortmund 48% | |
| 2010-10-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2010-04-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 57% |