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Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Auxerre has a 41% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
41%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.4%1.7%16.0%5.7%
If Win <1%3.4%3.3%10.5%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.0%14.9%4.7%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.2%19.3%8.1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.1%1.6%19.0%10.3%
If Win <1%1.9%1.9%14.1%5.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%21.2%9.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%23.9%14.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatToulouse
4All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Toulouse 0–0 Auxerre