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Lorient vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Lorient 2–0 Marseille
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lorient
9-11-9Rating 1752
Form: LDLWD
2 – 0
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
Ligue 1
Marseille
16-4-9Rating 1799
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatMarseille
29Games played29
1.3Avg goals scored2.0
1.5Avg goals conceded1.3
31% / 38% / 31%Win / Draw / Loss55% / 14% / 31%
50% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatMarseille
3All-time wins (24 meetings, 6 draws)15
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.0Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2025-09-12): Marseille 4–0 Lorient