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PSG vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 78% chance to win.

Final Score: PSG 3–1 Toulouse

Fri, Apr 3, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Ligue 1

PSG

19-3-4Rating 2043

Form: WLWWL

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3 – 1

Model Probability

78%

Draw 14%

8%

Ligue 1

Toulouse

10-7-10Rating 1756

Form: WWLLD

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Model Prediction Through Season

PSG	Stat	Toulouse
26	Games played	27
2.2	Avg goals scored	1.4
0.8	Avg goals conceded	1.2
73% / 12% / 15%	Win / Draw / Loss	37% / 26% / 37%
83%	Home win % / Away win %	38%

PSG	Stat	Toulouse
22	All-time wins (27 meetings, 3 draws)	2
3	Last 5 meetings (1 draws)	1
2.3	Average goals	0.7

Last meeting (2025-08-30): Toulouse 3–6 PSG

Recent Results

PSG

Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4

Fri, Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4

Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3

Fri, Feb 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4

Toulouse

Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1

Sun, Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7

Sat, Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1

Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1

Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2