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Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 63% chance to win.
Final Score: Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · 8:05 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
9-1-3Rating 1799
Form: WWWDL
2 – 2
Model Probability
63%
Draw 21%
16%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
4-4-5Rating 1756
Form: LDDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatToulouse
13Games played13
2.5Avg goals scored1.4
0.9Avg goals conceded1.3
69% / 8% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss31% / 31% / 38%
83% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatToulouse
15All-time wins (27 meetings, 11 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2025-04-06): Marseille 3–2 Toulouse