Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-22 | 0–2 | Lyon +2 | Lyon 36% | |
| 2026-05-10 | 2–1 | Toulouse +1 | Lyon 45% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 1–2 | Toulouse +1 | Lyon 60% | |
| 2025-01-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Lyon 54% | |
| 2024-09-29 | 1–2 | Lyon +1 | Toulouse 39% | |
| 2024-03-15 | 2–3 | Lyon +1 | Toulouse 39% | |
| 2023-12-10 | 3–0 | Lyon +3 | Lyon 44% | |
| 2023-04-14 | 1–2 | Lyon +1 | Lyon 40% | |
| 2022-10-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Lyon 59% | |
| 2020-01-26 | 3–0 | Lyon +3 | Lyon 74% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 2–3 | Lyon +1 | Lyon 44% | |
| 2019-03-03 | 5–1 | Lyon +4 | Lyon 69% | |
| 2019-01-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Lyon 49% | |
| 2018-04-01 | 2–0 | Lyon +2 | Lyon 69% | |
| 2017-12-20 | 1–2 | Lyon +1 | Lyon 50% | |
| 2017-03-12 | 4–0 | Lyon +4 | Lyon 62% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 1–2 | Lyon +1 | Toulouse 44% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 2–3 | Lyon +1 | Lyon 44% | |
| 2015-10-23 | 3–0 | Lyon +3 | Lyon 60% | |
| 2015-01-11 | 3–0 | Lyon +3 | Lyon 67% | |
| 2014-08-16 | 2–1 | Toulouse +1 | Lyon 38% | |
| 2014-04-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Lyon 39% | |
| 2013-12-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Lyon 51% | |
| 2013-04-14 | 3–1 | Lyon +2 | Lyon 53% | |
| 2012-11-25 | 3–0 | Toulouse +3 | Lyon 38% | |
| 2012-04-18 | 3–0 | Toulouse +3 | Lyon 38% | |
| 2011-12-04 | 3–2 | Lyon +1 | Lyon 53% | |
| 2011-05-01 | 2–0 | Toulouse +2 | Lyon 47% | |
| 2010-12-12 | 2–0 | Lyon +2 | Lyon 54% | |
| 2010-02-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Toulouse 45% |