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Notts County vs MK Dons Prediction & Win Probability

Notts County has a 43% chance to win.
League One
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League One
Notts County
3-5-4Rating 1397
Form: WDWLL
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
29%
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%9.6%8.0%
If Win <1%2.2%14.9%4.3%
If Draw <1%1.0%10.2%7.6%
If Lose <1%<1%8.5%9.0%

Notts County

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.5%15.2%
If Win <1%<1%7.1%11.4%
If Draw <1%<1%4.8%15.3%
If Lose <1%<1%4.2%17.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Notts CountyStatMK Dons
12Games played13
1.1Avg goals scored1.7
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 42% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss31% / 46% / 23%
33% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Notts CountyStatMK Dons
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.3Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-12-29): MK Dons 1–1 Notts County