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Oxford Utd vs Notts County Prediction & Win Probability

Oxford Utd has a 56% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League One
Oxford Utd
7-5-1Rating 1482
Form: WDWDW
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
League One
Notts County
3-5-4Rating 1397
Form: WDWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Notts County

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.7%14.8%
If Win <1%<1%7.7%9.7%
If Draw <1%<1%5.0%14.0%
If Lose <1%<1%4.4%15.7%

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 24.5%41.8%36.8%<1%
If Win 26.1%45.0%37.4%<1%
If Draw 20.7%37.1%39.1%<1%
If Lose 18.3%33.6%37.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Oxford UtdStatNotts County
13Games played12
1.7Avg goals scored1.1
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
54% / 38% / 8%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 42% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Oxford UtdStatNotts County
3All-time wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)0
3Last 3 meetings (0 draws)0
3.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Notts County 1–2 Oxford Utd