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Burton vs Plymouth Prediction & Win Probability

Burton has a 37% chance to win.
League One
Tue, Apr 13, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
League One
Burton
4-5-5Rating 1397
Form: LWDDL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
League One
Plymouth
7-2-5Rating 1446
Form: DWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.2%9.8%30.4%<1%
If Win 5.6%12.9%34.8%<1%
If Draw 3.7%9.3%31.4%<1%
If Lose 3.1%7.2%28.1%<1%

Burton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.3%11.9%
If Win <1%<1%8.5%8.0%
If Draw <1%<1%4.5%11.7%
If Lose <1%<1%4.5%15.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurtonStatPlymouth
14Games played14
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
29% / 36% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 14% / 36%
29% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurtonStatPlymouth
7All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-09-26): Plymouth 0–1 Burton