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Barnsley vs MK Dons Prediction & Win Probability

Barnsley has a 39% chance to win.
League One
Tue, Dec 15, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League One
Barnsley
2-3-7Rating 1364
Form: DLLLL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1403
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%9.3%8.7%
If Win <1%2.0%13.6%4.4%
If Draw <1%1.1%8.6%8.1%
If Lose <1%<1%6.0%12.8%

Barnsley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%47.9%
If Win <1%<1%1.3%39.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%49.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%57.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarnsleyStatMK Dons
12Games played13
1.0Avg goals scored1.7
1.8Avg goals conceded1.5
17% / 25% / 58%Win / Draw / Loss31% / 46% / 23%
17% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BarnsleyStatMK Dons
1All-time wins (4 meetings, 1 draws)2
1Last 4 meetings (1 draws)2
2.5Average goals3.0
Last meeting (2023-04-29): MK Dons 4–4 Barnsley