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Luton vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Luton has a 42% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Luton
7-3-4Rating 1464
Form: DWWWW
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
League One
Oxford Utd
7-5-1Rating 1482
Form: WDWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Oxford Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 16.7%32.6%40.2%<1%
If Win 24.6%43.5%39.6%<1%
If Draw 17.5%32.8%40.6%<1%
If Lose 11.7%25.1%40.4%<1%

Luton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.1%13.0%36.6%<1%
If Win 9.2%19.1%38.8%<1%
If Draw 4.4%11.3%34.5%<1%
If Lose 3.0%7.7%30.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LutonStatOxford Utd
14Games played13
1.9Avg goals scored1.7
1.5Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 21% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss54% / 38% / 8%
57% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LutonStatOxford Utd
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-01-21): Oxford Utd 3–2 Luton