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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Burnley vs Aston Villa

Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 59% chance to win.
Final Score: Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa
Sun, May 10, 2026 · 2:00 PM BST
League One
Burnley
4-8-23Rating 1656
Form: LLLLL
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2 – 2
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
59%
League One
Aston Villa
17-7-11Rating 1943
Form: LLWDW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatAston Villa
35Games played35
1.0Avg goals scored1.4
2.0Avg goals conceded1.3
11% / 23% / 66%Win / Draw / Loss49% / 20% / 31%
12% Home win % / Away win % 35%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BurnleyStatAston Villa
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2025-10-05): Aston Villa 2–1 Burnley

Recent Results

Burnley

@ Leeds
Fri, May 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Manchester City
Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Nottingham
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1–4
vs Brighton
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Fulham
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3

Aston Villa

vs Tottenham
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Fulham
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Sunderland
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
@ Nottingham
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs West Ham
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0