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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 54% chance to win.
Final Score: Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
Sat, May 9, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
League One
Liverpool
17-7-11Rating 1964
Form: LWWWL
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1 – 1
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
League One
Chelsea
13-9-13Rating 1913
Form: LLLLL
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatChelsea
35Games played35
1.7Avg goals scored1.5
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
49% / 20% / 31%Win / Draw / Loss37% / 26% / 37%
59% Home win % / Away win % 41%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
LiverpoolStatChelsea
12All-time wins (32 meetings, 12 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-10-04): Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool

Recent Results

Liverpool

@ Manchester Utd
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3
vs Crystal Palace
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Everton
Sun, Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Fulham
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Brighton
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2

Chelsea

vs Nottingham
Mon, May 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Brighton
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3
vs Manchester Utd
Sat, Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Manchester City
Sun, Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3
@ Everton
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3