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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Manchester Utd vs Leeds

Manchester Utd vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 57% chance to win.
Final Score: Manchester Utd 1–2 Leeds
Mon, Apr 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
League One
Manchester Utd
15-10-6Rating 1892
Form: DWLWW
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1 – 2
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
20%
League One
Leeds
7-12-12Rating 1891
Form: DDLLD
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLeeds
31Games played31
1.8Avg goals scored1.2
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
48% / 32% / 19%Win / Draw / Loss23% / 39% / 39%
67% Home win % / Away win % 7%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Manchester UtdStatLeeds
4All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)0
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-04): Leeds 1–1 Manchester Utd

Recent Results

Manchester Utd

@ Bournemouth
Fri, Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Aston Villa
Sun, Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1
@ Newcastle
Wed, Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Crystal Palace
Sun, Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Everton
Mon, Feb 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0

Leeds

vs Brentford
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Crystal Palace
Sun, Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Sunderland
Tue, Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Manchester City
Sat, Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
@ Aston Villa
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1