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Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Newcastle 2–1 Manchester City
Sat, Nov 22, 2025 · 5:30 PM GMT
League One
Newcastle
3-3-5Rating 1890
Form: LLWLW
2 – 1
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
League One
Manchester City
7-1-3Rating 2031
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatManchester City
11Games played11
1.0Avg goals scored2.1
1.3Avg goals conceded0.7
27% / 27% / 45%Win / Draw / Loss64% / 9% / 27%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatManchester City
1All-time wins (28 meetings, 4 draws)23
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals2.9
Last meeting (2025-02-15): Manchester City 4–0 Newcastle