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← Home / England / League One / Matches / Arsenal vs Manchester City

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 50% chance to win.
Final Score: Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City
Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 4:30 PM BST
League One
Arsenal
3-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WLWWW
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1 – 1
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
League One
Manchester City
2-0-2Rating 2031
Form: WLLWW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatManchester City
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored2.0
0.2Avg goals conceded1.0
75% / 0% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 0% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
ArsenalStatManchester City
6All-time wins (31 meetings, 9 draws)16
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-02-02): Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City

Recent Results

Arsenal

vs Nottingham
Sat, Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Liverpool
Sun, Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Leeds
Sat, Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Southampton
Sun, May 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Manchester City

vs Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3–0
@ Brighton
Sun, Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Tottenham
Sat, Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0–2
@ Wolves
Sat, Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
@ Fulham
Sun, May 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0