Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-28 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2017-11-29 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 77% | |
| 2017-02-25 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 77% | |
| 2016-09-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2015-08-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 65% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 0–5 | Chelsea +5 | Chelsea 56% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 4–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2014-04-13 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 60% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 68% | |
| 2013-04-28 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2012-01-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2011-09-24 | 4–1 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 65% |