Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-01 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 69% | |
| 2017-08-19 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Arsenal 49% | |
| 2017-05-13 | 1–4 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2016-12-10 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 67% | |
| 2016-01-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 42% | |
| 2015-09-12 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2015-01-11 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 60% | |
| 2014-12-06 | 3–2 | Stoke +1 | Arsenal 46% | |
| 2014-03-01 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Arsenal 57% | |
| 2013-09-22 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 66% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2012-08-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 43% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 48% | |
| 2011-10-23 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 50% | |
| 2011-05-08 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Arsenal 38% | |
| 2011-02-23 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2010-02-27 | 1–3 | Arsenal +2 | Stoke 48% |