Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-05 | 1–5 | Stevenage +4 | Barnsley 46% | |
| 2026-04-21 | 1–0 | Stevenage +1 | Stevenage 48% | |
| 2026-01-31 | 3–1 | Barnsley +2 | Barnsley 39% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 0–1 | Stevenage +1 | Barnsley 48% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 3–0 | Stevenage +3 | Stevenage 41% | |
| 2024-04-09 | 2–1 | Stevenage +1 | Stevenage 38% | |
| 2023-12-23 | 2–1 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 46% |