Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-22 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 65% | |
| 2026-01-31 | 0–2 | Southampton +2 | Stoke 41% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Southampton 51% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Southampton 64% | |
| 2023-10-03 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Stoke 36% | |
| 2018-03-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 53% | |
| 2017-09-30 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 41% | |
| 2017-05-21 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Southampton 52% | |
| 2016-12-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 37% | |
| 2016-03-12 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Stoke 45% | |
| 2015-11-21 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Southampton 49% | |
| 2015-04-18 | 2–1 | Stoke +1 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2014-10-25 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Southampton 58% | |
| 2013-11-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 40% | |
| 2013-05-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 48% | |
| 2012-12-29 | 3–3 | Draw | Stoke 54% |