Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 73% | |
| 2025-10-22 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 38% | |
| 2025-04-21 | 2–1 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Sheffield Wed 39% | |
| 2024-12-26 | 3–3 | Draw | Middlesbrough 48% | |
| 2024-04-01 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2023-09-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Sheffield Wed 38% | |
| 2021-04-24 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2020-12-29 | 2–1 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Middlesbrough 40% | |
| 2020-07-22 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Sheffield Wed 44% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 1–4 | Sheffield Wed +3 | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 0–1 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2018-10-19 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Sheffield Wed 40% | |
| 2018-01-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 54% | |
| 2017-12-23 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Sheffield Wed 39% | |
| 2015-12-28 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 52% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Sheffield Wed 41% | |
| 2015-02-28 | 2–0 | Sheffield Wed +2 | Middlesbrough 44% | |
| 2014-08-23 | 2–3 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2014-03-01 | 1–0 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Sheffield Wed 43% | |
| 2013-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2013-05-04 | 2–0 | Sheffield Wed +2 | Sheffield Wed 45% | |
| 2012-11-09 | 3–1 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 58% | |
| 2010-04-10 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 49% |