Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Luton 46% | |
| 2025-11-15 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 52% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 0–2 | Luton +2 | Luton 41% | |
| 2022-11-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 51% | |
| 2021-05-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 55% | |
| 2020-11-04 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Rotherham 39% |