Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 40% | |
| 2024-08-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Portsmouth 38% | |
| 2019-01-29 | 3–2 | Luton +1 | Luton 43% | |
| 2018-08-04 | 1–0 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 48% | |
| 2017-01-02 | 1–0 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 41% | |
| 2016-11-22 | 1–3 | Portsmouth +2 | Luton 48% | |
| 2015-12-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Portsmouth 48% | |
| 2015-08-29 | 1–2 | Portsmouth +1 | Luton 43% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 2–0 | Portsmouth +2 | Portsmouth 42% | |
| 2014-12-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 50% |