Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-09 | 3–0 | Swansea +3 | Swansea 48% | |
| 2024-12-10 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Plymouth 37% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–1 | Plymouth +1 | Swansea 45% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 1–3 | Swansea +2 | Plymouth 38% | |
| 2010-02-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Plymouth 40% |