Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Oxford Utd 54% | |
| 2023-02-11 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 42% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 1–2 | MK Dons +1 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2022-04-19 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2021-12-11 | 1–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2021-02-27 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 41% | |
| 2020-10-20 | 3–2 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 46% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | Oxford Utd 48% | |
| 2018-01-01 | 3–1 | Oxford Utd +2 | Oxford Utd 49% | |
| 2017-09-02 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 38% | |
| 2017-02-11 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 51% | |
| 2016-09-17 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 49% |