Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 3–0 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 51% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 0–4 | Oxford Utd +4 | Oxford Utd 41% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 3–0 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 57% | |
| 2023-01-28 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2022-09-03 | 2–1 | Oxford Utd +1 | Oxford Utd 55% | |
| 2022-03-05 | 4–1 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 56% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 1–3 | Oxford Utd +2 | Burton 41% | |
| 2021-05-09 | 4–0 | Oxford Utd +4 | Oxford Utd 53% | |
| 2021-01-02 | 1–5 | Oxford Utd +4 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2020-02-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Oxford Utd 36% | |
| 2019-08-20 | 2–4 | Burton +2 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2019-02-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 51% | |
| 2018-08-25 | 3–1 | Oxford Utd +2 | Burton 36% | |
| 2015-02-14 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 54% | |
| 2014-08-09 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Oxford Utd 43% | |
| 2014-03-08 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2013-09-07 | 0–2 | Oxford Utd +2 | Burton 46% | |
| 2013-01-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Oxford Utd 46% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 4–0 | Burton +4 | Burton 43% | |
| 2012-01-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 40% | |
| 2011-09-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2011-03-27 | 3–0 | Oxford Utd +3 | Oxford Utd 44% | |
| 2010-08-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 51% |