Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2023-04-29 | 4–4 | Draw | Barnsley 46% | |
| 2022-11-19 | 3–1 | Barnsley +2 | Barnsley 51% | |
| 2015-01-24 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 54% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 3–5 | MK Dons +2 | Barnsley 44% |