Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-24 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 40% | |
| 2017-11-04 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Millwall 51% | |
| 2016-03-28 | 2–0 | Millwall +2 | Millwall 45% | |
| 2015-12-01 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 40% |