Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-28 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-05-03 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 66% | |
| 2024-11-03 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Burnley 42% | |
| 2023-02-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 51% | |
| 2022-08-30 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 62% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 66% | |
| 2013-11-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Burnley 42% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 0–2 | Burnley +2 | Millwall 49% | |
| 2012-09-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Burnley 45% | |
| 2012-02-25 | 1–3 | Millwall +2 | Burnley 53% | |
| 2011-10-01 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Millwall 43% | |
| 2011-03-12 | 0–3 | Millwall +3 | Burnley 54% | |
| 2010-10-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 40% |