Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 46% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 41% | |
| 2024-12-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 56% | |
| 2023-04-07 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 44% | |
| 2022-12-17 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 64% | |
| 2017-04-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2016-12-26 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 41% | |
| 2016-04-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 46% | |
| 2015-12-15 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 49% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 0–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Burnley 57% | |
| 2013-12-26 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Burnley 40% | |
| 2013-02-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 42% | |
| 2012-08-21 | 3–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 43% | |
| 2012-01-14 | 0–2 | Burnley +2 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2011-09-10 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2011-04-19 | 3–1 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 49% | |
| 2010-09-14 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Burnley 38% |