Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-26 | 0–5 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 84% | |
| 2020-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 89% | |
| 2018-01-31 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2017-10-28 | 2–3 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2017-05-16 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2015-08-10 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2015-03-21 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2014-04-21 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 77% | |
| 2013-12-04 | 2–3 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2013-05-07 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2012-10-20 | 1–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2012-04-11 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2011-12-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2011-02-05 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2010-11-07 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | West Brom 43% |