Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2024-12-29 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 84% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2021-12-26 | 6–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 73% | |
| 2021-09-11 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 51% | |
| 2021-04-03 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2020-09-27 | 2–5 | Leicester +3 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2019-12-21 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 63% | |
| 2019-05-06 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2018-12-26 | 2–1 | Leicester +1 | Manchester City 60% | |
| 2018-02-10 | 5–1 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2017-05-13 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2016-12-10 | 4–2 | Leicester +2 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2016-02-06 | 1–3 | Leicester +2 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2015-12-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 39% | |
| 2015-03-04 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 63% |