Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 52% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 3–0 | Luton +3 | Luton 43% | |
| 2023-04-01 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 48% | |
| 2022-10-23 | 4–0 | Watford +4 | Watford 41% | |
| 2021-04-17 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Watford 55% | |
| 2020-09-26 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 66% |