Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | 2–1 | QPR +1 | QPR 48% | |
| 2024-08-30 | 1–2 | QPR +1 | Luton 48% | |
| 2022-12-29 | 0–3 | Luton +3 | QPR 43% | |
| 2022-10-15 | 3–1 | Luton +2 | Luton 42% | |
| 2022-03-13 | 1–2 | QPR +1 | Luton 49% | |
| 2021-11-19 | 2–0 | QPR +2 | QPR 46% | |
| 2021-05-08 | 3–1 | QPR +2 | QPR 48% | |
| 2021-01-12 | 0–2 | QPR +2 | Luton 51% | |
| 2020-07-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 44% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 3–2 | QPR +1 | QPR 43% |