Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-25 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 57% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 5–0 | Barnsley +5 | Barnsley 37% | |
| 2022-02-08 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 64% | |
| 2021-08-17 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Barnsley 47% | |
| 2021-04-05 | 1–2 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 38% | |
| 2020-09-12 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Barnsley 43% | |
| 2020-07-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 43% | |
| 2019-08-24 | 1–3 | Luton +2 | Barnsley 42% | |
| 2019-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Luton 43% | |
| 2018-10-13 | 3–2 | Barnsley +1 | Barnsley 56% |