Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 41% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 2–1 | Leicester +1 | Leicester 51% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–5 | Leicester +5 | Leicester 60% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 72% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Leicester 60% | |
| 2017-11-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 36% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 2–0 | Leicester +2 | Leicester 44% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 43% | |
| 2016-01-23 | 3–0 | Leicester +3 | Leicester 49% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2015-01-17 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Leicester 37% | |
| 2014-09-13 | 0–1 | Leicester +1 | Stoke 47% |