Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-22 | 0–1 | Leeds +1 | Nottingham 46% | |
| 2026-02-06 | 3–1 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 45% | |
| 2025-11-09 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2023-04-04 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 49% | |
| 2023-02-05 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2019-08-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 48% | |
| 2019-01-01 | 4–2 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 40% | |
| 2018-10-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Leeds 46% | |
| 2018-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Leeds 56% | |
| 2017-08-26 | 0–2 | Leeds +2 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2017-01-25 | 2–0 | Leeds +2 | Leeds 56% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2016-02-06 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Leeds 42% | |
| 2015-12-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Leeds 40% | |
| 2014-12-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 51% | |
| 2014-04-21 | 0–2 | Nottingham +2 | Leeds 37% | |
| 2013-12-29 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 45% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 4–2 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 42% | |
| 2012-09-22 | 2–1 | Leeds +1 | Leeds 43% | |
| 2012-03-20 | 3–7 | Nottingham +4 | Leeds 57% | |
| 2011-11-29 | 0–4 | Leeds +4 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2011-04-02 | 4–1 | Leeds +3 | Leeds 41% | |
| 2010-08-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 51% |