Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 1–2 | Hull +1 | Southampton 47% | |
| 2025-09-20 | 3–1 | Hull +2 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2024-02-20 | 1–2 | Hull +1 | Southampton 64% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Hull 36% | |
| 2017-04-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Southampton 58% | |
| 2016-11-06 | 2–1 | Hull +1 | Southampton 49% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 62% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 40% | |
| 2014-02-11 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 37% | |
| 2013-11-09 | 4–1 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2012-03-20 | 0–2 | Southampton +2 | Hull 38% | |
| 2011-11-29 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 53% |