Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | 1–5 | MK Dons +4 | MK Dons 38% | |
| 2025-10-04 | 3–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 37% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 1–0 | Gillingham +1 | Gillingham 48% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 0–1 | Gillingham +1 | MK Dons 48% | |
| 2024-01-27 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 51% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 2–1 | Gillingham +1 | Gillingham 41% | |
| 2022-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 59% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 1–4 | MK Dons +3 | Gillingham 42% | |
| 2021-03-02 | 3–2 | Gillingham +1 | Gillingham 39% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 38% | |
| 2019-12-21 | 3–1 | Gillingham +2 | Gillingham 53% | |
| 2018-03-29 | 1–2 | MK Dons +1 | Gillingham 53% | |
| 2017-08-19 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 46% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 3–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 50% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 1–0 | Gillingham +1 | Gillingham 44% | |
| 2015-02-14 | 4–2 | Gillingham +2 | MK Dons 40% | |
| 2014-08-09 | 4–2 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 47% | |
| 2014-03-25 | 0–1 | Gillingham +1 | MK Dons 57% | |
| 2013-10-05 | 3–2 | Gillingham +1 | MK Dons 41% | |
| 2010-03-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Gillingham 43% |