Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 38% | |
| 2026-02-01 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 50% | |
| 2025-08-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Fulham 42% | |
| 2025-01-26 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Fulham 45% | |
| 2024-08-16 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 52% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 1–2 | Fulham +1 | Manchester Utd 57% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 37% | |
| 2023-05-28 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 65% | |
| 2022-11-13 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2021-05-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 82% | |
| 2021-01-20 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 66% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 0–3 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 66% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 73% | |
| 2014-02-09 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 78% | |
| 2013-11-02 | 1–3 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 55% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 60% | |
| 2012-08-25 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 61% | |
| 2012-03-26 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 71% | |
| 2011-12-21 | 0–5 | Manchester Utd +5 | Manchester Utd 54% | |
| 2011-04-09 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 67% | |
| 2010-08-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2010-03-14 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 59% |