Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Reading 44% | |
| 2025-10-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Exeter 40% | |
| 2025-03-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Reading 52% | |
| 2024-10-22 | 1–2 | Reading +1 | Exeter 46% | |
| 2024-01-01 | 3–2 | Reading +1 | Reading 59% | |
| 2023-08-26 | 2–1 | Exeter +1 | Exeter 38% |