Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 0–4 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 43% | |
| 2025-12-13 | 4–3 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 56% | |
| 2012-01-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Cardiff 49% | |
| 2011-09-10 | 2–0 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 52% | |
| 2011-04-09 | 1–3 | Cardiff +2 | Cardiff 42% | |
| 2010-08-21 | 4–0 | Cardiff +4 | Cardiff 45% | |
| 2010-01-30 | 2–1 | Cardiff +1 | Cardiff 51% |