Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Burton 46% | |
| 2026-04-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Mansfield 51% | |
| 2025-08-02 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 44% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Burton 44% | |
| 2024-08-17 | 3–3 | Draw | Mansfield 47% | |
| 2015-01-10 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 57% | |
| 2014-08-30 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Mansfield 37% | |
| 2014-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Burton 41% | |
| 2013-11-26 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 54% |