Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 52% | |
| 2025-04-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 57% | |
| 2024-12-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 67% | |
| 2016-01-25 | 4–1 | Burnley +3 | Burnley 47% | |
| 2015-09-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Derby 40% | |
| 2014-03-01 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 45% | |
| 2013-08-31 | 0–3 | Burnley +3 | Derby 46% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 2–0 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 41% | |
| 2012-09-22 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Derby 46% | |
| 2012-01-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 47% | |
| 2011-08-27 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Derby 48% | |
| 2011-04-23 | 2–4 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2010-11-27 | 2–1 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 47% |