Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-09 | 2–0 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 68% | |
| 2021-10-02 | 0–3 | Nottingham +3 | Birmingham 38% | |
| 2021-04-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 36% | |
| 2020-12-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 3–0 | Nottingham +3 | Nottingham 47% | |
| 2019-02-02 | 2–0 | Birmingham +2 | Birmingham 40% | |
| 2018-08-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 53% | |
| 2018-03-03 | 2–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 52% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 1–0 | Birmingham +1 | Nottingham 40% | |
| 2017-01-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2016-10-14 | 3–1 | Nottingham +2 | Nottingham 39% | |
| 2016-01-12 | 1–1 | Draw | Nottingham 44% | |
| 2015-09-15 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2014-12-28 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Nottingham 53% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Nottingham 41% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 1–0 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 49% | |
| 2013-12-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 43% | |
| 2013-02-02 | 2–1 | Birmingham +1 | Birmingham 48% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2012-02-25 | 1–2 | Nottingham +1 | Birmingham 70% | |
| 2011-10-02 | 1–3 | Birmingham +2 | Nottingham 38% |