Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-04-13 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2018-09-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 40% | |
| 2018-01-01 | 5–0 | Aston Villa +5 | Aston Villa 37% | |
| 2017-08-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Bristol City 45% | |
| 2017-02-28 | 2–0 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 48% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 3–1 | Bristol City +2 | Bristol City 41% |