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Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 49% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
VS
2-5-1 · Rating 1650
Form: DWLDD
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.4%30.0%5.8%
If Win 1.0%4.2%36.9%3.5%
If Draw <1%2.6%29.6%6.4%
If Lose <1%1.5%24.7%7.7%

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.7%11.8%48.8%1.2%
If Win 4.4%12.4%54.1%<1%
If Draw 3.4%8.8%48.0%1.2%
If Lose 2.3%7.4%45.2%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MiddlesbroughStatBirmingham
8Games played8
2.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 62% / 12%
75% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MiddlesbroughStatBirmingham
15All-time wins (27 meetings, 6 draws)6
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Birmingham 2–2 Middlesbrough